Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 30-Jun-2010




Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: There are no buyers in this market, seems all wants out. The market seems in big trouble.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/30/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD10.21.1Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD6913.830.25
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD35771.54-0.49
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD6913.83-1.28Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD30.6-2.38Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves7014.030.26
Total # of DOWN Moves42985.97-0.63
Total499100-0.51
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 29-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: The bulls are just too weak... the bounce may come, but the technical damage is just too big, it needs time to recover or change the trend.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/29/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD20.4.
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD6613.23-0.69
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD30961.92-1.51Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD12224.45-2.41Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves20.4.
Total # of DOWN Moves49799.6-1.62
Total499100-1.62
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Monday, June 28, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 28-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: The bulls don't have enough strength today to push the market higher. Volume very low.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/28/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD40.82.49Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD204.011.46Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD17535.070.37
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD27154.31-0.41
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD285.61-1.27Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD10.2-2.08Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves19939.880.52
Total # of DOWN Moves30060.12-0.5
Total499100-0.09
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Sunday, June 27, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 25-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: Bulls keep it in strike distance and keep hope alive to take back control. Monday is a key day, the bulls does not have to gain points on Monday, but have to keep the bears from scoring more points.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/27/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD30.62.17Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD6112.221.34Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD27955.910.39
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD12925.85-0.35
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD234.61-1.28Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD40.8-2.22Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves34368.740.57
Total # of DOWN Moves15631.26-0.53
Total4991000.23
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Thursday, June 24, 2010

The bears take back control, 6/24/2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: The bears took over, and the market is sick. It seems nobody wants hold stocks.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/24/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD20.41.22Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD408.020.24
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD26953.91-0.6
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD17835.67-1.28Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD102-2.38Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves428.420.29
Total # of DOWN Moves45791.58-0.91
Total499100-0.81
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: SPY goes under the trendline with increasing volume, both bad for the bulls.  The bulls need put together a good efforts soon.

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 23-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: Same view as yesterday.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/23/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD10.22.03Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD112.21.23Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD20841.680.28
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD26152.3-0.4
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD173.41-1.12Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD10.2-3.77Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves22044.090.34
Total # of DOWN Moves27955.91-0.45
Total499100-0.1
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: The bulls need make efforts to defend at this price level.

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 22-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: The bulls just gave up the fight, the bears took the lead today, however, both scores are less than 25. My best guess is the market will stay within this range for a while.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/22/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD234.610.2
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD27354.71-0.62
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD19038.08-1.31Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD132.61-2.63Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves234.610.2
Total # of DOWN Moves47695.39-0.95
Total499100-0.9
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: bad candle with increasing volume is always bad sign for the bulls, see if the bulls can defend the line.

Monday, June 21, 2010

Bad price action today, but the bulls still in control



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: The huge gap up this morning generated too many supply, however the bulls are still in control in short term. This is a stock pickers market.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/21/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD20.42.08Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD20.41.17Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD13527.050.29
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD33166.33-0.38
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD285.61-1.27Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD10.2-2.02Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves13927.860.33
Total # of DOWN Moves36072.14-0.46
Total499100-0.24
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: bad candle and bad price action today, but the SPY chart still looks OK to me.

Friday, June 18, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 18-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: Thanks for visiting; Have a great weekend and Fathers Day.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/18/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD511.21Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD24949.90.26
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD23647.29-0.29
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD81.6-1.27Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD10.2-2.18Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves25450.90.28
Total # of DOWN Moves24549.1-0.33
Total499100-0.02
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 17-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: The bears are helpless, they can even push down the market with the helps of many bad econ numbers. Low volume pullbacks, if any, are good for the bulls.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/17/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD30.62.79Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD142.811.22Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD24649.30.32
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD22645.29-0.29
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD81.6-1.25Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD20.4-2.69Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves26352.710.39
Total # of DOWN Moves23647.29-0.34
Total4991000.05
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: pullbacks are needed to push even further.

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 16-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: Buy on the pullbacks when the bulls are in control.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/16/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD61.21.39Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD20741.480.31
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD27454.91-0.31
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD112.2-1.32Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD10.2-2.33Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves21342.690.34
Total # of DOWN Moves28657.31-0.36
Total499100-0.06
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

CREE

The Bulls are in total control: 30 to 15.



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: not surprised by today's move at all, as the bulls are in control for a few days now.  Another significance of today's move is the fact that SPY is now above 111. I believe the bears are in hot seats now, their covering will provide more fuels into the upside.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/15/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD255.012.32Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD23747.491.32Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD22645.290.69
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD91.8-0.3
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD20.4-2.38Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves48897.81.08
Total # of DOWN Moves112.2-0.68
Total4991001.04
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: SPY pushed into the upper diamond, bodes well for the bulls.

Monday, June 14, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 14-Jun-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: The bears got helps from the greece downgrade news today, but the low volume down day does not concern me yet.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 6/14/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD0.0Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD1021.37Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD26252.510.3
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD21743.49-0.3
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD91.8-1.28Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD10.2-2.16Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves27254.510.34
Total # of DOWN Moves22745.49-0.35
Total4991000.03
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: If SPY can close above 111, the bears would be in trouble, however, the bulls don't want to see SPY below 107.

Sunday, June 13, 2010

The Industry Group Rankings Based on Spatial Pattern



Spatial Type I ranking
6/11/106/10/106/09/106/08/106/07/10
Air TransportAir TransportShort ETFsShort ETFsShort ETFs
ShoeRailroadsAir TransportAir TransportAir Transport
RailroadsShoeRailroadsRetail Building SupplyShoe
Retail Building SupplyChemical (Basic)ShoeRailroadsRetail Building Supply
Chemical (Basic)Retail Building SupplyRetail Building SupplyShoeRailroads
CasinosShort ETFsHousehold ProductsApplicationSoftwareApplicationSoftware
Natural Gas (Distributor)Household ProductsApplicationSoftwareCasinosHousehold Products
Short ETFsApplicationSoftwareCasinosNatural Gas (Distributor)Computers and Peripherals
Petroleum (Producing)Petroleum (Producing)SoftDrinksInsurance (Life)Furn/Home Furnishings
Computers and PeripheralsFurn/Home FurnishingsInsurance (Life)Retail StoreRetail Store
Natural Gas (Diversified)Natural Gas (Distributor)Natural Gas (Distributor)SoftDrinksInsurance (Life)
ApplicationSoftwareInsurance (Life)Retail StoreChemical (Basic)Natural Gas (Distributor)
Household ProductsTrucking/Transp. LeasingChemical (Basic)Long ETFsCasinos
Trucking/Transp. LeasingRetail StoreFurn/Home FurnishingsNatural Gas (Diversified)SoftDrinks
Furn/Home FurnishingsNatural Gas (Diversified)Computers and PeripheralsComputers and PeripheralsDiversified Co.
Insurance (Life)Diversified Co.Diversified Co.Furn/Home FurnishingsChemical (Basic)
Diversified Co.Long ETFsInvestment Co. (Domestic)Investment Co. (Domestic)Long ETFs
Long ETFsSoftDrinksTrucking/Transp. LeasingTrucking/Transp. LeasingInvestment Co. (Domestic)
SoftDrinksCasinosNatural Gas (Diversified)Diversified Co.Trucking/Transp. Leasing
Retail StoreComputers and PeripheralsAerospace/DefenseAerospace/DefenseAerospace/Defense
Spatial Type II ranking





6/11/106/10/106/09/106/08/106/07/10
Cement and AggregatesCement and AggregatesCement and AggregatesCement and AggregatesCement and Aggregates
Securities BrokerageGoldGoldGoldGold
GoldSecurities BrokerageSecurities BrokerageSecurities BrokerageSecurities Brokerage
Food ProcessingFood ProcessingToiletries/CosmeticsFood ProcessingTelecom. Equipment
Petroleum (Integrated)Toiletries/CosmeticsFood ProcessingToiletries/CosmeticsFood Processing
Toiletries/CosmeticsPetroleum (Integrated)Telecom. EquipmentPetroleum (Integrated)Toiletries/Cosmetics
CasinosSoftDrinksCasinosTelecom. EquipmentPetroleum (Integrated)
Telecom. EquipmentTelecom. EquipmentInsurance (Prop/Casualty)CasinosCasinos
Insurance (Prop/Casualty)CasinosPetroleum (Integrated)Insurance (Prop/Casualty)Insurance (Prop/Casualty)
Retail (Special Lines)Insurance (Prop/Casualty)Retail (Special Lines)SoftDrinksApplicationSoftware
GroceryStoresRetail (Special Lines)ApplicationSoftwareApplicationSoftwareSoftDrinks
SoftDrinksApplicationSoftwareSoftDrinksRetail (Special Lines)Retail (Special Lines)
Packaging and ContainerGroceryStoresGroceryStoresHousehold ProductsHousehold Products
ApplicationSoftwareHousehold ProductsElectric Utility (East)Electric Utility (East)Electric Utility (East)
Electric Utility (East)Electric Utility (East)Packaging and ContainerPackaging and ContainerGroceryStores
Household ProductsPackaging and ContainerHousehold ProductsGroceryStoresShipping
Metal FabricatingApparelRetail StoreRetail StorePackaging and Container
Metals and Mining (Div.)Metals and Mining (Div.)Metal FabricatingShippingRetail Store
ShoeRetail StoreDrugElectric Utility (West)Biotechnology
DrugShippingShippingDrugDrug

The Industry Group Rankings Based on Price Behavior



Price Behavior Model Rankings on 6/11/10
Based on 250 DaysBased on 120 DaysBased on 20 DaysBased on 5 Days
Shoe
Shoe
ShortETFs
Shoe
AirTransport
RetailStore
PackagingandContainer
NaturalGas(Diversified)
RetailStore
RetailBuildingSupply
SoftDrinks
ElectricUtility(East)
Furn/HomeFurnishings
Furn/HomeFurnishings
AirTransport
InvestmentCo.(Foreign)
RetailBuildingSupply
Railroads
FoodProcessing
Railroads
Insurance(Life)
Casinos


OilfieldSvcs/Equipment
LongETFs
Retail(SpecialLines)
Shoe
FoodProcessing
Railroads
Insurance(Life)
NaturalGas(Diversified)
MetalsandMining(Div.)
DiversifiedCo.
Homebuilding
ApplicationSoftware
Petroleum(Integrated)
Internet
LongETFs
Toiletries/Cosmetics
Drug
HouseholdProducts
Machinery
RetailStore
Chemical(Diversified)
Apparel
Aerospace/Defense
Internet
PackagingandContainer
Retail(SpecialLines)
Internet
InvestmentCo.(Foreign)
Insurance(Prop/Casualty)








Price Behavior Model Rankings on 6/10/10
Based on 250 DaysBased on 120 DaysBased on 20 DaysBased on 5 Days
Shoe
Shoe
ShortETFs
OilfieldSvcs/Equipment
AirTransport
RetailStore


FoodProcessing
RetailStore
RetailBuildingSupply
SoftDrinks
NaturalGas(Diversified)
RetailBuildingSupply
Furn/HomeFurnishings
FoodProcessing
ShortETFs
Furn/HomeFurnishings
Railroads
PackagingandContainer
Gold
Insurance(Life)
Retail(SpecialLines)
NaturalGas(Diversified)
ElectricUtility(East)
DiversifiedCo.
Homebuilding
AirTransport
Petroleum(Producing)
LongETFs
Casinos
ApplicationSoftware
InvestmentCo.(Foreign)
Railroads
Insurance(Life)
Toiletries/Cosmetics
Petroleum(Integrated)
Apparel
LongETFs
Shoe
Toiletries/Cosmetics
HouseholdProducts
Machinery
Insurance(Prop/Casualty)


Internet
Aerospace/Defense
AlternateEnergy
Chemical(Diversified)
Retail(SpecialLines)
FarmConstructionMachinery
InvestmentCo.(Foreign)
MetalsandMining(Div.)








Price Behavior Model Rankings on 6/09/10
Based on 250 DaysBased on 120 DaysBased on 20 DaysBased on 5 Days
AirTransport
Shoe
ShortETFs
ShortETFs
Shoe
RetailStore
FoodProcessing
FoodProcessing
RetailStore
RetailBuildingSupply




RetailBuildingSupply
Homebuilding
ApplicationSoftware
NaturalGas(Diversified)
Furn/HomeFurnishings
Furn/HomeFurnishings
SoftDrinks
Petroleum(Producing)
Insurance(Life)
Retail(SpecialLines)
PackagingandContainer
ElectricUtility(East)
HouseholdProducts
Railroads
AirTransport
Toiletries/Cosmetics
Railroads
Insurance(Life)
NaturalGas(Diversified)
Gold
LongETFs
Casinos
Toiletries/Cosmetics
OilfieldSvcs/Equipment
DiversifiedCo.
LongETFs
Shoe
NaturalGas(Distributor)
Apparel
Machinery
Gold
ApplicationSoftware
Retail(SpecialLines)
FarmConstructionMachinery
Internet
PackagingandContainer
Internet
Internet
Railroads
SoftDrinks

The ETF Rankings Based on Price Behavior



Rankings on 6/11/10
Rank 250DaysRank 120DaysRank 20DaysRank 5Days
XLY34XLY18IEF5TTH3
ICF31xhb16AGG4PPH3
IYR30IWC15TLT4ICF3
EWM30ICF15SHY3EWP3
IYT30RKH14FXI1UTH3
GLD30IYR14EWD
XLU3
xhb29IWN13

IYR3
XLI26IYT13EWP
EWW2
IWS26EWM13EWH
EWA2
RTH25XLI13EWK
FXI2
IWN25IWM11EWW
PID2
QQQQ25QQQQ11ILF-1EWH2
DVY25IWS11GLD-1EPP2








Rankings on 6/10/10
Rank 250DaysRank 120DaysRank 20DaysRank 5Days
XLY33xhb16AGG5TTH2
EWM29XLY16IEF4FXI1
ICF29ICF14TLT3EWW1
IYR28IWC14SHY2IEF1
GLD28RKH13FXI1ILF1
xhb28IYR13

EWA1
IYT27IWN12EWD-1EWZ1
XLI25EWM12EWK-1EPP1
RTH25XLI12EWH-1UTH1
IWS24IYT12TTH-1GDX1
IWN23IWM10EWW-1EWD1
DVY23IWS10EWZ-1OIL1
QQQQ23TLT9EWN-1GLD1








Rankings on 6/09/10
Rank 250DaysRank 120DaysRank 20DaysRank 5Days
XLY31xhb16AGG6IEF3
EWM28XLY15IEF5AGG2
ICF28IWC13TLT4SHY2
GLD28ICF13SHY4TLT2
IYR27RKH12

GLD1
xhb26IYR12GLD
TTH
IYT25IWN11FXI
USO
AGG24IEF11EWD-1OIL
RTH24SHY11IYZ-1UTH
XLI23TLT11EWH-2

IWS23AGG10RSX-2EWH
IWN22IYT10EWK-2EWM
DVY21EWM10TTH-2GDX

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