Saturday, October 30, 2010

How I use Jeff Augen Chart

The BullsBears Execl has a sheet for AugenChart. I got some emails asking me how I use it.

The Augen Chart is to find “extreme” movers (moves over 2STD). These extreme movers are excellent hints to tell you which direction the stock will take.

Generally speaking, when a stock experiences a green mover, it is a strong signal indicates it wants to move even higher. When an uptrending stock experience a 2STD move down, it may indicate the trend change from up to down. However, a move over 2STD may also be an “exhaustion” move.

Below is an example for AMZN.






I use Augen Chart as a check if the stock is safe to go long or not. If the LATEST big move is a red mover(move down over 2STD), I would be very concerned if I have long position in that stock.



If the latest mover is a green mover, or if the latest bar is red, however the stock is higher than the highest red point (i.e., the stock completely recovered from red mover), then I would feel OK to go long.


The NFLX’s 4 latest movers are all green.






The QQQQ chart tells us the market does not have any red movers since September.




CREE’s latest mover is RED, until it recovers the highest point of red bar, going long here is a concern to me.



I own NVLS, as the latest mover is green:


I make decision to go long or short primary based upon on chart patterns, but I use the Augen Chart as a final check.

Friday, October 29, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 29-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

The bears had many opportunities to push the market down this week, but they failed to do so.
Thank you so much for supporting this blog this week. I saw more and more people downloaded our bullsbears excelsheet. Hope it has helped you in some way.
Have a great weekend.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/29/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD163.23.4Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD6312.61.39Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD22444.80.41
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD15030-0.42
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD377.4-1.42Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD102-3.19Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves30360.60.77
Total # of DOWN Moves19739.4-0.75
Total5001000.17
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Thursday, October 28, 2010

$AMD,$INTC diamondwise charts


Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 28-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

mkt in consolidation mode, the bulls are still in good shape. The bears got good chance to push it down in the last two days, they failed both times.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/28/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD224.43.03Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD4591.34Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD19138.20.39
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD19438.8-0.37
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD204-1.33Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD285.6-3.85Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves25851.60.78
Total # of DOWN Moves24248.4-0.85
Total500100-0.01
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

$NVLS

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 27-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

With the help of financials and semis, the market hold up very well today. The bears gained 1 point today. I am still holding many longs.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/27/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD142.82.93Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD3571.39Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD13727.40.38
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD21843.6-0.45
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD7414.8-1.34Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD224.4-2.88Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves18637.20.76
Total # of DOWN Moves31462.8-0.83
Total500100-0.24
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

$AXL, $AONE


Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 26-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

Same comments as yesterday.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/26/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD513.55Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD316.21.36Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD19138.20.36
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD21042-0.45
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD479.4-1.35Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD163.2-4.14Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves22745.40.56
Total # of DOWN Moves27354.6-0.82
Total500100-0.19
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Monday, October 25, 2010

$KFT, $NSH diamondwise charts


Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 25-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

Bulls still in control; buy strong stocks in strong sectors; Financials still weak;
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/25/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD81.62.44Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD60121.35Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD24749.40.44
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD16232.4-0.37
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD224.4-1.31Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD10.2-7.57Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves315630.67
Total # of DOWN Moves18537-0.52
Total5001000.23
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Friday, October 22, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 22-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

This market will not go down until the topping callers turn bullish

I made mistakes trying to outsmart the market this week. I corrected my mistakes and paid my due.

Have a good weekend, and thanks for visiting.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/22/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD122.43.01Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD499.81.39Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD24148.20.4
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD17234.4-0.33
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD163.2-1.35Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD102-3.8Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves30260.40.67
Total # of DOWN Moves19839.6-0.59
Total5001000.17
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Thursday, October 21, 2010

$SNDK

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 21-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

The model says all is OK for the bulls, but the price action during the day is somewhat bearish.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/21/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD91.83.11Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD479.41.32Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD21943.80.38
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD18537-0.43
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD295.8-1.36Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD112.2-2.52Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves275550.63
Total # of DOWN Moves22545-0.65
Total5001000.05
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

$INTC still in well defined downtrend channel

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 20-OCT-2010


Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

If this is a football game, we have a great game going on right now, 22 to 21;  it is a heavy weight fighting, yesterday was bears day, today is bulls day. The volume today is not very convincing.

I opened some shorts and stopped out half of my short positions by the end of day.

This is not an optimal mkt condition to bet long or short. I will reduce my exposures.

Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/20/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD316.22.41Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD16833.61.39Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD23346.60.54
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD5310.6-0.43
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD91.8-1.36Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD61.2-3.57Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves43286.41
Total # of DOWN Moves6813.6-0.83
Total5001000.75
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: volume is low compared to yesterdays

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

$TLT to go 103?

Summary of SP 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/19/2010


Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: Sorry the table in last post was yesterday. Below is updated for today.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/19/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD10.22.06Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD40.81.4Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD377.40.26
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD17234.4-0.6
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD22444.8-1.45Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD6212.4-2.66Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves428.40.41
Total # of DOWN Moves45891.6-1.29
Total500100-1.15
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Be aware of BEARS, 19-OCT-2010





Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

The bears are 1 point away for officially taking over the control for the short term, but I will just call it today, as the price action and volume today is NOT good for the bulls.


For the shrt term, I am downside biased unless SPY closes above 118 on close basis.

Control your risk and Good lucks.

Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/18/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD173.42.4Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD7915.81.38Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD24749.40.45
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD14428.8-0.41
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD91.8-1.39Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD40.8-2.86Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves34368.60.76
Total # of DOWN Moves15731.4-0.53
Total5001000.36
Note: Sorry this table was yesterday's. Today's table will be shown in another post.




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: For long term, the bulls are still OK.

Monday, October 18, 2010

The beauty of diamondwise chart, $XOM

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 18-OCT-2010


Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments: The top calling bears are calling top almost daily for last couple of weeks. I am amazed how popular the bears websites are. This blog is boring, because we are just trend followers, we let the market tells us what to do.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/18/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD173.42.4Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD7915.81.38Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD24749.40.45
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD14428.8-0.41
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD91.8-1.39Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD40.8-2.86Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves34368.60.76
Total # of DOWN Moves15731.4-0.53
Total5001000.36
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments: The trend is up, if SPY can keep above 116, it is very healthy. Closing below 114 will concern me.

Friday, October 15, 2010

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 15-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

Except the financials, the bulls have nothing to worry about.
The bulls had a great week, hope you have the same too.
Thanks for visiting this blog. Have a great weekend.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/15/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD112.23.3Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD489.61.29Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD23847.60.43
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD17334.6-0.37
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD204-1.35Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD102-3.16Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves29759.40.67
Total # of DOWN Moves20340.6-0.6
Total5001000.15
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Thursday, October 14, 2010

$CREE, bottom fishing

$GOOG chart

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 14-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

The bulls are still in good shape, but the weakness in financials make me worry. I am still holding many long positions.
Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/14/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD512.5Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD1531.18Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD140280.34
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD27454.8-0.42
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD5210.4-1.27Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD142.8-3.81Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves160320.49
Total # of DOWN Moves34068-0.69
Total500100-0.31
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

$MA, break downtrend line with volume today

Bulls vs. Bears and Market Summary on 13-OCT-2010



Short Term Bulls vs. Bears Scoring System

Short-term buy signal: Bulls>Bears and Bulls>=25; Sell signal: Bears>Bulls and Bears>=25Signal History
Comments:

Another good day for the bulls. Any pullbacks should be viewed as buying opportunities as long as the bulls scores are higher.

Thank you all for your continued supports for this blog.

Summary of S&P 500 Stocks Daily Price Change Behavior Model 10/13/2010
Type of Daily Move# of StocksPercent of all stocksAvg MoveSymbols of the Moves
UP over 2 STD224.42.6Click here to show stocks
UP between 1 to 2 STD12925.81.33Click here to show stocks
UP between 0 to 1 STD24448.80.5
DOWN between 0 to 1 STD8416.8-0.36
DOWN between 1 to 2 STD173.4-1.4Click here to show stocks
DOWN over 2 STD40.8-2.3Click here to show stocks
Total # of UP Moves395790.89
Total # of DOWN Moves10521-0.61
Total5001000.58
Note:




How to read this table
Intermediate Term Market Mode
Comments:
Long Term ZigZag View of SPY

Comments:

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

My Favorite Books